Empirical Testing of the Informational Efficiency in Palestine Securities Exchange (PSE)
Keywords:
Stock Markets and Economy, Efficient Market Hypothesis, Abnormal Returns, Empirical Testing, Informational Efficiency, Palestine Securities Exchange (PSE)Abstract
This study aimed at empirically testing the efficiency of the Palestine
Securities Exchange (PSE) in terms of the Composite Index (Al-Quds) for
the period 8 July 1997 – 30 December 2007, i.e. (196s Observations). The
random walk test is performed to ascertain whether the (PSE) is Weak Form
Efficient. Three widely accepted statistical tests have been used, namely:
Auto-Correlation Function (ACF), Variance Ratio (VR) based on (Lo and
McKinley’s 1988) Parametric tests, and Run tests as nonparametric tests.
Results showed that the PSE was inefficient for all and partial period
samples, even after modification of date and analysis for the true underlying
index using (Miller. Muthuswamy and Whaley 1994) approach. However,
these results are consistent with evidence provided in {(Shaheen, 2006),
(AbuZarrour, 2005), (Al-Fayoumi, 2003)}.
Thus, on the repatriation of capital, which may have deterred foreign
participation, and contributed to illiquidity and low volume of trading, are
due to the weakness confidence and perceived risks of the market. Therefore,
the study presented a number of recommendations that may be helpful
in improving the efficiency of the PSE, which in turn increases its role in
the Palestinian economy as whole.
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